The 2024 men’s tennis season is coming to an end, with the ATP Finals starting this weekend. The top eight players on the ATP ranking will compete in this tournament, so it’s one of the most anticipated events of the year. Novak Djokovic is the reigning champion, but he won’t defend his title because of his injury.
The Nitto ATP Finals will be held in Turin, Italy, for the fourth year in a row. The 2024 ATP Finals will be played on indoor hard courts at the Inalpi Arena, and the event will run from Sunday, 10 November, to Sunday, 17 November.
The 2024 ATP Finals draw was held on Thursday, and it promises some great matchups early on in the group stage. There’s a total prize fund for the 2024 ATP Finals of $15,250,000, and the undefeated champion will take home an enticing $4,881,000 and 1500 points.
| ℹ️ Tournament: | 2024 Nitto ATP Finals, ATP Tour Invitational Event for Top-8 players |
| 🎾 Venue: | Inalpi Arena, Turin, Italy (indoor hard court) |
| 🗓️ Dates: | Sunday, 10 November to Sunday, 17 November, 2024 |
Here’s a look at the outright winner odds for the ATP Finals 2024 men’s event from the best Italian legal bookmakers:
Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz have had the most success in 2024, so it makes sense that the tennis bookmakers have them as the main favorites. Sinner won the Australian Open and US Open Grand Slams this year, while Alcaraz won Roland Garros and Wimbledon. Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev are the only two former champions, so they have big experience in this tournament, even though the latter didn’t have the best performance this year.
Taylor Fritz won two ATP 250 events this year, but his best achievement was reaching the 2024 US Open Final before losing the title to Sinner. Andrey Rublev and Alex de Minaur are two good underdogs to bet on in general, but none of them are in their best form right now. Casper Ruud would have had better odds to win the event if it was played on a clay surface, but it will be shocking if he wins this hard-court title with too many good players.
The 2024 ATP Finals event will be the 55th edition of the tournament, and it consists of the top eight players in the ATP Tour going into November. They were split equally into two groups of four players each, playing in the bo3 format. The group stage is played with the single round-robin system, as each player plays three matches, and the top two players in each group qualify for the knockout stage. The tournament continues after that with single-elimination matches until we get a winner.
The ATP Finals event is played on an indoor hard court, which is quite a fast surface and offers a consistent bounce. This is better suited for the big servers and aggressive baseliners like Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz, and it also benefits the flat hitters like Daniil Medvedev.
Novak Djokovic won the most ATP Finals titles (7), and Roger Federer is in second place with six trophies. There are only two former ATP Finals winners participating in this edition: Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev.
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The outright odds for Jannik Sinner show his strength this year, as he is definitely the most improved player in 2024. Sinner became the first-ever Italian tennis player to reach the No. 1 spot on the ATP Tour, and he has been holding this position for five months. Jannik won two Grand Slam hard-court events this year, and he has also won three Masters tournaments and two ATP 500 events, so this is the best year in his career.
Sinner has a winning record against each of the other seven players this year except for Alcaraz, but all of his matches with the Spaniard were competitive and went to a decider set. Jannik will also be playing at home in this event, so the crowd support will give him an extra push to perform well.
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The ATP tennis odds for Alexander Zverev caught our eye, as he has won the event twice before, in 2018 and 2021. The German player overtook Carlos Alcaraz to become the world No. 2 in November, as he won the ATP Paris Masters last week, having beaten players like Stefanos Tsitsipas, Holger Rune, and Ugo Humbert on his way to victory. Zverev has had a very solid season, including reaching the French Open final, so he will have a good chance to win the title if he brings his best effort.
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This will be a key matchup in the Ilie Nastase Group, as both Daniil Medvedev and Taylor Fritz need a win here to increase their qualifying chances, so we expect it to go to three sets. Medvedev won the only official match between them, and it was competitive, while Fritz won three exhibition matches over him. Both players have excellent serve and aren’t broken easily on hard surfaces, so we don’t expect any of them to win in straight sets.
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This is one of our favorite ATP Finals 2024 betting picks, as Alexander Zverev is in much better form than Andrey Rublev lately. Zverev won six of his last seven matches, and all of his wins were in straight sets. Meanwhile, Rublev lost five of his last nine matches, and he is nowhere near his best level this year. The German player holds an excellent 6-3 head-to-head record over Andrey, as all six victories were also in straight sets, so there’s a pretty good chance the same result happens again here.
This ATP Finals edition has a good mix of young and experienced players, and we will go with Jannik Sinner to come out on top. Make sure you use our ATP Finals 2024 predictions and bet on them at the best bookmakers in Italy to have more fun watching the event.
