Five Best Win Total Bets for the 2024 MLB Season

St Louis Cardinals Under 85.5 Wins at 10/11 (bet365)

The Cardinals had to revamp their rotation this offseason. They did so by going all-in on veteran arms in Sonny Gray, Kyle Gibson and Lance Lynn to accompany Miles Mikolas. Gray – the clear ace of the staff – has already suffered an injury.

The offence should be explosive again after placing fifth in xwOBA last season. You can try and talk yourself into the bullpen.

That rotation is a real concern, though, and there aren’t as many easy wins with the recently balanced schedule. The Cubs will also be competitive again, as will the Reds. This just seems a few wins too high for a team that had just 71 wins in 2023.

Toronto Blue Jays Over 87.5 Wins at 10/13 (bet365)

Toronto has averaged over 90 wins across the last three seasons. They have cleared this line in each of those campaigns, and been to the Playoffs in three of the last four years. Yes, they missed out on Shohei Ohtani and had a quietish offseason, but surely they will clear this line.

There is a need for offensive bounce backs from a few players, including Vladimir Guerrero Jr. But it’s reasonable to expect that, and Justin Turner brings another middle-of-the-order bat. The rotation could be among the best in baseball.

To the fans. To the city. To the nation.

We are Blue Jays #TOTHECORE pic.twitter.com/oTVAx2UnEf

— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) March 11, 2024

San Francisco Giants Over 81.5 Wins at Evens (Betway)

The Giants were a tough call on this line before adding Blake Snell. San Francisco has now had a near-perfect offseason after failing to land Ohtani and Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

PECOTA projects them for 85 wins. Depth Charts has them at 83. Alex Cobb is returning earlier than expected, and this pitching staff has major upside with the combination of two aces and young arms on the rise.

Yes, the line up is still lacking a bit of firepower, but Jorge Soler, Jung-Hoo Lee and Matt Chapman should be enough to get the Giants above .500.

Baltimore Orioles Over 90.5 Wins at 10/13 (bet365)

The Orioles won 101 games last season. They have traded for Corbin Burnes and have even more prospects on the way, including Jackson Holliday. Yes, they overachieved their Pythagorean win-loss by seven wins last season, and projections are typically harsh on young teams.

Baltimore, though, has one of the sport’s premier line ups. Kyle Bradish’s injury is a concern, but John Means will be able to take a spot in the rotation before long. We’re all-in on the Orioles this year, and could see them getting to triple digits again.